Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 13.375415 15.318191 17.459045 19.995602 22.922250 26.196872 30.144143
2025-11-02 10.540590 13.011765 15.955065 19.728130 24.449957 30.181411 37.692957
2025-11-09 8.881869 11.560825 14.932362 19.504351 25.569965 33.379041 44.256754
2025-11-16 7.686642 10.446022 14.078450 19.236730 26.417533 36.124387 50.350206
2025-11-23 6.730088 9.490970 13.268638 18.851267 26.954102 38.382723 55.893649
2025-11-30 6.327109 9.230892 13.347817 19.659733 29.182280 43.154480 65.470784
2025-12-07 5.850911 8.800468 13.118119 19.961299 30.653404 46.915206 73.892365
2025-12-14 5.361878 8.292111 12.708424 19.924070 31.566721 49.869752 81.317004
2025-12-21 4.908266 7.788033 12.247050 19.741070 32.200551 52.402132 88.271187
2025-12-28 4.705289 7.655585 12.346040 20.450404 34.327555 57.523807 100.072134
2026-01-04 4.479330 7.461287 12.321032 20.939664 36.113474 62.218968 111.605788
2026-01-11 4.313416 7.349131 12.415924 21.630714 38.296490 67.781968 125.265415
2026-01-18 3.937955 6.851185 11.822188 21.076529 38.238320 69.404219 131.897831
2026-01-25 3.645137 6.472299 11.401597 20.790494 38.634623 71.881474 140.422673
2026-02-01 3.390128 6.138225 11.029845 20.554105 39.089044 74.489356 149.457907
2026-02-08 3.153606 5.817485 10.653941 20.271333 39.417801 76.868637 158.263619
2026-02-15 2.922904 5.488339 10.234566 19.864067 39.455491 78.661636 166.019710
2026-02-22 2.872415 5.496535 10.449937 20.718287 42.101862 85.957809 186.334766
2026-03-01 2.759496 5.373999 10.402333 21.036945 43.669999 91.166422 202.646675
2026-03-08 2.614463 5.176248 10.190548 20.997605 44.474702 94.824163 215.856487
2026-03-15 2.464370 4.956582 9.917366 20.804232 44.925297 97.747600 227.680691
2026-03-22 2.421009 4.951688 10.079990 21.553800 47.516371 105.657464 252.252161
2026-03-29 2.356345 4.897101 10.134535 22.070854 49.630660 112.688674 275.508687